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Best NBA Player Props and Parlay – March 10

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Welcome to the dynamic realm of NBA sports betting! Are you eager to delve into NBA player props? You've landed in the perfect spot! Whether you're a casual fan or an experienced gambler, we've got you covered. Join us as we unravel the intricate world of player props in basketball. We're here to arm you with key insights that could sharpen your betting strategies. So, strap in for a revealing exploration of the NBA and get ready to view the game from an insider's perspective. Let's jump in and discover together!

What are Player Prop Bets?

Player prop bets, often called “props,” focus on individual players' actions rather than the overall game result. They're popular in various sports, especially in basketball. In the NBA, these bets zoom in on specific player achievements such as points, assists, rebounds, blocks, steals, etc.

Same Game Parlay Tab on FanDuel

Looking for a place to try these out? Head over to a major sportsbook. For instance, FanDuel Sportsbook offers a menu of bets for any NBA game. If you're interested in tonight's matchup between the Knicks and Suns, check out the Same Game Parlay tab for various statistical options.

The Lineup for Today:

There are still plenty of games in the NBA today, so we will dive into some of the final matchups. For our preview of tonight’s games, we start with the Timberwolves traveling to the Lakers, then head to Cleveland, where the Cavs host the Nets, and wrap things up with the Thunder welcoming the Grizzlies. In our slate for tonight, we are looking for one role player to shine while another lags behind, a great big man to dominate, and finish things off with a same game parlay for a spectacular duo.

Kyle Anderson u23.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-110) (DK) | NBA Player Props

Kyle Anderson is an important player for the Timberwolves, though not one that particularly fills up the stat sheet. On face value, this prop looks like a no-brainer: across the entire season, Anderson has only broken this threshold twice, giving him a season-long average of 13.8 combined stats. With this nearly 10 below what his line is set for here, this view of things shows that there should be some serious value to this line.  

However, it is worthwhile to consider that Minnesota will be missing some key players in this matchup, particularly one of his partners in the frontcourt, Karl-Anthony Towns. Despite this absence, Anderson does not see a drastic increase of his stats. While he plays nearly 20% more minutes without KAT, his combined stats only marginally increase, rising to 14. Further, in his four games without KAT this year, he has not yet managed to cross this number, suggesting that this game will be similar.

Jarret Allen o2.5 Assists (-105) (DK) | NBA Player Props

Allen has been a phenomenal role player for the Cavaliers all season, forming one of the most formidable frontcourts in the Eastern Conference in conjunction with Evan Mobley. The latter recently suffered an Ankle injury, which means that Allen will serve a much more committed role for Cleveland moving forward. Though not widely regarded for his playmaking, with the style of basketball that the Cavs play, even Allen puts up solid numbers – particularly when Mobley is out. In games this season with Mobley missing, Allen has hit this line 68% of the time, giving him implied odds of -213 for this line.

However, the injury struggles of the Cavaliers go even deeper than just Mobley: they will also be missing one of their primary creators, Donovan Mitchell in this game. When Mitchell and Mobley are both out, Allen steps up his game drastically when it comes to passing. In seven games this year without, this pair, Allen has been perfect at hitting this line, averaging over 4 assists per game.

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Austin Reaves o23.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-120) (DK) | NBA Player Props

Reaves has continued the great form he had last season into this one, stepping up as one of the major contributors for the Lakers in multiple phases of the game. With the roster changing around him throughout the season, the Oklahoma product has displayed a truly versatile game, allowing him to fit within whatever lineup he finds himself in on the floor. Over his last 10 games, Reaves has been sensational, hitting this line in 7 of those games, including the last 4 straight.

Relying primarily on his great scoring ability to hit this line, Reaves has performed incredibly well when playing at home. Behind the strong home support, he regularly elevates his game to a new level, displayed by his strong track record as of late. Over the last 20 games, when playing at home, Reaves has hit this line in all but one game, indicating that he should be in store for yet another strong performance tonight.

Memphis Grizzlies @ Oklahoma City Thunder (-105) (DK) | Same Game Parlay

We are going to be featuring one parlay which we believe has great upside potential for this game. Tonight we are looking at a two-leg parlay, featuring Chet Holmgren scoring over 13.5 points and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander recording at least five assists. This duo has lifted Oklahoma City all year long, regularly displaying how good this young and improving team really is as they currently sit atop the Western Conference. Holmgren is having a rookie season to remember, regularly filling the stat sheet for the Thunder, displaying his ability in all phases of the game. His offensive game has been impressively polished, showcasing the ability to score at all three levels, which has given him fantastic scoring numbers this year. In the backcourt, SGA has been one of the best players in the entire league this year, particularly when it comes to scoring the basketball. However, he has also been a fantastic distributor of the basketball, which is why we like his assists here. This game has wonderful potential for the Thunder to have a phenomenal showing, which should make both of these legs highly likely and this to be a great value play.

In review, we are taking:

  • Chet Holmgren o13.5 Points
  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 5+ Assists

This is currently being offered for -105 on DraftKings, but running it through our parlay optimizer, we see it has hit in 67% of the last 20 games when the Thunder play at home, giving it implied odds of -200.

Looking at the same stretch in all games, this parlay has still been great. Over the last 20 games, this has hit in 60% of games, giving the bet implied odds of -150 during that stretch.

Finally, this has been a great bet over the course of the entire season. Looking at their performances all year, this bet has hit in 58% of games, giving it implied odds of -138.

Why Bet on NBA Player Props?

Why engage in NBA player prop betting? It injects an extra thrill into basketball viewing. Unlike standard bets on teams, player props dive into the actual performances on the field. They offer more predictability and are less swayed by the crowd's opinion. With a deep understanding of a player's capabilities, you can use your insights effectively. Plus, it heightens the excitement of each game, as every action could tip the scales of your wager. Remember, responsible betting is key, but enjoy the additional excitement that player props bring to each NBA game.

In wrapping up, NBA player prop bets offer an interactive, personalized touch to professional basketball. They allow enthusiasts to go beyond scores, focusing on player stats and performances. These bets are not only thrilling but can also be quite rewarding for those who find the market's sweet spots. As a significant force in today's sports betting scene, a firm grasp of NBA player props is a must-have for any serious bettor or basketball fan. Stay informed, research thoroughly, and you may find player props to be both enjoyable and profitably engaging. Always bet with your head, not over it.

Strategies for Selecting Winning NBA Player Prop Bets

Embarking on the journey of NBA player prop betting requires a blend of skill, insight, and strategy. Here are key tactics to help you navigate this exciting landscape and make informed bets:

  • Player Performance Analysis: Delve into recent performances of players. Consider factors like injuries, recovery status, and consistency. A player on a hot streak or facing a weaker defense could be a lucrative bet.
  • Matchup Assessments: Evaluate the matchups carefully. A star shooting guard facing the league's top perimeter defense might not hit their average threes made. Conversely, a top center against a team with a weak inside defense might exceed expectations.
  • Historical Trends: Look at historical data. Some players may have a history of performing exceptionally well or poorly against certain teams or in particular situations.
  • Coaching Strategies: Stay updated on team strategies. Coaching decisions can influence a player's opportunity to perform. For example, a shift toward a smaller lineup would mean more opportunities for skilled players to score.
  • In-Game Scenarios: Consider the context of the game. A team that's trailing may shoot more threes to try and get back ahead.
  • Bankroll Management: Keep your bankroll in check. Don't place all your funds on one prop; diversify your bets to manage risk.
  • Line Shopping: Compare odds across different sportsbooks. Even small differences can be significant over time, so shop for the best lines for your chosen props.
  • Timing Your Bets: Monitor line movements. Placing your bet at the right time, when the lines are most favorable, can be as crucial as the bet itself.
  • Keeping an Eye on the News: Injuries, trades, and team news can all affect props. Keep an eye on updates right up to game time to catch any critical changes.

By incorporating these strategies into your betting routine, you can boost your chances of finding valuable bets and making your NBA viewing experience even more thrilling.

Remember, the key to successful prop betting is research and disciplined wagering. Use the insights gained from these strategies to place smart, informed bets. With practice and patience, you could enhance your NBA player prop betting game.

Take the question out of betting research with HOF Bets. Optimize your bets using sports betting analytics like these and many more, available on our platform at hofbets.com or by downloading our new iOS app here. Get started with us today for the best player prop and sports betting research.

A mockup on an iPhone of the Hofbets platform, where a user is entering in parlays and picks on the NBA Parlay Optimizer.A mockup on an iPhone of a Hofbets user examining a same game parlay they calculated on the NBA Parlay Optimizer.

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