Welcome to the dynamic realm of MLB sports betting! Are you eager to delve into MLB player props? You've landed in the perfect spot! Whether you're a casual fan or an experienced gambler, we've got you covered. Join us as we unravel the intricate world of player props in baseball. We're here to arm you with key insights that could sharpen your betting strategies. So, strap in for a revealing exploration of the MLB and get ready to view the game from an insider's perspective. Let's jump in and discover together!
What are Player Prop Bets?
Player prop bets, often called “props,” focus on individual players' actions rather than the overall game result. They're popular in various sports, especially in baseball. In the MLB, these bets zoom in on specific player achievements such as hits, strikeouts, home runs, etc.
Andrew Heaney U 5.5 Hits Allowed (-110) (BetMGM) | Player Prop
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Our first player prop for today's games is Andrew Heaney under 5.5 hits allowed.
Heaney has gone under this line in 68% of games this season, averaging 4.9 hits allowed per game.
Furthermore, in the last nine games against the Astros, including three this season, Heaney has kept them under this line each time.
Furthermore, Heaney has been exceptional at home this season, going under this line in every home game, averaging 3.8 hits allowed per game.
Given these factors, we favor his under for tonight.
Jarren Duran 2+ Total Bases (-105) (DraftKings) | Player Prop
The next player prop catching our attention is Jarren Duran 2+ total bases.
Duran has gone over this line in 65% of the last 20 games and 82% of games when facing right-handed pitchers over that time.
Tonight, Duran faces Brady Singer, who’s faced twice this season, going over in both games, including the last game where he had five total bases.
Given these factors, we strongly favor the over for tonight.
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Marcus Semien 2+ Total Bases (+145) (DraftKings) | Player Prop
The last player prop for tonight’s games is Marcus Semien 2+ total bases.
Semien has gone over this line in both games against Hunter Brown this season and three of four games from the last two seasons.
Furthermore, Semien has gone over this line in 55% of the last 20 games, which is an implied odds of -122 while we can get this prop for +145 odds.
Given these factors, we’re liking the over for tonight.
Two-leg Same Game Parlay (+106) (DraftKings)
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Last but not least, it wouldn't be a Hall of Fame Bets blog post without utilizing the Parlay Optimizer to build a parlay for tonight’s slate. This parlay consists of these two legs from DraftKings:
This parlay has hit in 55% of Singer’s games this season and 75% of home games.
Based on the season, this parlay has implied odds of -120, but with DraftKings offering it at +106 odds, the value presented makes this parlay too enticing to pass up.
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