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MLB Player Props and Parlays: August 15

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Welcome to the dynamic realm of MLB sports betting! Are you eager to delve into MLB player props? You've landed in the perfect spot! Whether you're a casual fan or an experienced gambler, we've got you covered. Join us as we unravel the intricate world of player props in baseball. We're here to arm you with key insights that could sharpen your betting strategies. So, strap in for a revealing exploration of the MLB and get ready to view the game from an insider's perspective. Let's jump in and discover together!

What are Player Prop Bets?

Player prop bets, often called “props,” focus on individual players' actions rather than the overall game result. They're popular in various sports, especially in baseball. In the MLB, these bets zoom in on specific player achievements such as hits, total bases, home runs, pitcher strikeouts, steals, etc.

Looking for a place to try these out? Head over to a major sportsbook. For instance, FanDuel Sportsbook offers a menu of bets for any MLB game. If you're interested in tonight's matchup between the Boston Red Sox and Baltimore Orioles check out the Same Game Parlay tab for various statistical options.

The Lineup for Today:

Max Kepler 1+ Hits (-180) (ESPN Bet) | MLB Player Props

Max Kepler is putting together another strong season with the Twins. It appears Kepler’s plate approach has slightly changed with emphasis on putting the ball in play as opposed to hitting for greater power like last season.

Kepler has recorded a hit in 69% of games this season highlighting his consistency. Kepler has been hot as of late, recording a hit in 82% of his last 20 games.

Kepler has also tallied a hit in 2 of 3 games against the Rangers. While Rangers starter Cody Bradford doesn’t allow many hits, Kepler has excelled against tough matchups this season, recording a hit in 75% of those games.

Jose Quintana 5+ Strikeouts (-178) (MGM) | MLB Player Props

While Jose Quintana had a rough start to the season, he turned things around towards the end of summer. Now through 23 starts, Quintana is posting a respectable 4.10 ERA.

Quintana has recorded 5+ strikeouts in 8 of the last 10 games, showcasing his resurgence. Quintana also faces the A’s who are averaging the 4th most strikeouts in the MLB this season.

When facing other high strikeout teams over his last 10 starts, Quintana has easily cleared this line recording 8 strikeouts in all 3 games.

Enjoy analysis like this? Make sure to follow us on our socials @hofbets on Twitter and TikTok and @hof.bets on Instagram, or check out our website for more insights like these.

Matt Olson (-190) (MGM) | MLB Player Props
While Matt Olson hasn’t replicated his MVP caliber form from last season, he has still put up some solid numbers with 21 home runs and 62 RBIs.

Olson has also recorded a hit in 75% of his last 20 games. Olson faces the Giants, whom he has performed well against this season, tallying a hit in 83% of games.

On the mound for the Giants is Logan Webb who allows a lot of hits to opposing players. When facing pitchers who allow lots of hits, Olson has reached this line in 68% of games. Olson has also recorded a hit in 3 consecutive games when facing Webb and is batting .316 in his career against the Giants starter.

Boston Red Sox @ Baltimore Orioles (+116) (DK) | Same Game Parlay

We are going to be featuring one parlay which we believe has great upside potential. This week we are looking at a two-leg parlay, featuring Rafael Devers for 1+ hit and Adley Rutschman for 1+ hit. Devers and Rutschman are entering the prime of their careers and were both named as All-Stars this season. Devers is currently batting .299 with 25 home runs and 72 RBIs. While Rutschman is batting .269 on the season with 17 home runs and 69 RBIs. Their offensive production has been key in both the Red Sox and Orioles success this season. In review, we are taking: 

  • Rafael Devers 1+ Hit
  • Adley Rutschman 1+ Hit

This is currently being offered for +116 on DraftKings, but running it through our parlay optimizer, we see it has hit in 50% of games this season. With implied odds of +101 this parlay has a 4% edge indicating good value.

Additionally Devers recorded a hit when he faced Eflin early this season, while Rutschman has recorded a hit in 4 of 5 games against the Red Sox.

Finally, both Devers and Rutschman have been hot over the last 10 games.

Why Bet on MLB Player Props?

Why engage in MLB player prop betting? It injects an extra thrill into baseball viewing. Unlike standard bets on teams, player props dive into the actual performances on the field. They offer more predictability and are less swayed by the crowd's opinion. With a deep understanding of a player's capabilities, you can use your insights effectively. Plus, it heightens the excitement of each game, as every action could tip the scales of your wager. Remember, responsible betting is key, but enjoy the additional excitement that player props bring to each MLB game.

In wrapping up, MLB player prop bets offer an interactive, personalized touch to professional baseball. They allow enthusiasts to go beyond scores, focusing on player stats and performances. These bets are not only thrilling but can also be quite rewarding for those who find the market's sweet spots. As a significant force in today's sports betting scene, a firm grasp of MLB player props is a must-have for any serious bettor or baseball fan. Stay informed, research thoroughly, and you may find player props to be both enjoyable and profitably engaging. Always bet with your head, not over it.

Strategies for Selecting Winning MLB Player Prop Bets

Embarking on the journey of MLB player prop betting requires a blend of skill, insight, and strategy. Here are key tactics to help you navigate this exciting landscape and make informed bets:

  • Player Performance Analysis: Delve into recent performances of players. Consider factors like injuries, recovery status, and consistency. A player on a hot streak or facing a weaker opponent could be a lucrative bet.
  • Matchup Assessments: Evaluate the matchups carefully. A batter may fail to record a hit when facing the league's top pitchers. Conversely, a pitcher may fail to record lots of strikeouts against the best offensive teams.
  • Historical Trends: Look at historical data. Some players may have a history of performing exceptionally well or poorly against certain pitchers or in particular situations.
  • Coaching Strategies: Stay updated on team strategies. Coaching decisions can influence a player's opportunity to perform. For example, a starting pitcher may get pulled earlier than expected due to pitch count.
  • In-Game Scenarios: Consider the context of the game. A team that's trailing may consider a more aggressive plate approach..
  • Bankroll Management: Keep your bankroll in check. Don't place all your funds on one prop; diversify your bets to manage risk.
  • Line Shopping: Compare odds across different sportsbooks. Even small differences can be significant over time, so shop for the best lines for your chosen props.
  • Timing Your Bets: Monitor line movements. Placing your bet at the right time, when the lines are most favorable, can be as crucial as the bet itself.
  • Keeping an Eye on the News: Injuries, trades, and team news can all affect props. Keep an eye on updates right up to game time to catch any critical changes.

By incorporating these strategies into your betting routine, you can boost your chances of finding valuable bets and making your MLB viewing experience even more thrilling.

Remember, the key to successful prop betting is research and disciplined wagering. Use the insights gained from these strategies to place smart, informed bets. With practice and patience, you could enhance your MLB player prop betting game.Take the question out of betting research with HOF Bets. Optimize your bets using sports betting analytics like these and many more, available on our platform at hofbets.com or by downloading our new iOS app here. Get started with us today for the best player prop and sports betting research.

A mockup on an iPhone of the Hofbets platform, where a user is entering in parlays and picks on the NBA Parlay Optimizer.A mockup on an iPhone of a Hofbets user examining a same game parlay they calculated on the NBA Parlay Optimizer.

Power up your parlay research and make more data-driven sports bets

Hall of Fame Bets offers simple yet powerful analytics to help you research your sports bets, with a focus on player props and parlays.