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MLB Player Props and Parlays: July 19

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Welcome to the dynamic realm of MLB sports betting! Are you eager to delve into MLB player props? You've landed in the perfect spot! Whether you're a casual fan or an experienced gambler, we've got you covered. Join us as we unravel the intricate world of player props in baseball. We're here to arm you with key insights that could sharpen your betting strategies. So, strap in for a revealing exploration of the MLB and get ready to view the game from an insider's perspective. Let's jump in and discover together!

What are Player Prop Bets?

Player prop bets, often called “props,” focus on individual players' actions rather than the overall game result. They're popular in various sports, especially in baseball. In the MLB, these bets zoom in on specific player achievements such as hits, total bases, home runs, pitcher strikeouts, steals, etc.

Looking for a place to try these out? Head over to a major sportsbook. For instance, DraftKings Sportsbook offers a menu of bets for any MLB game. If you're interested in tonight's matchup between the Phillies and Pirates, check out the Same Game Parlay tab for various statistical options.

The Lineup for Today:

Willson Contreras 1+ Hits (-190) (MGM) | MLB Player Props

Willson Contreras has been excellent during the 2024 season. The veteran catcher is batting .271 with 10 home runs and 24 RBIs in 51 games with the Cardinals.

Contreras has been especially hot as of late, recording a hit in 8 of the last 10 games. Contreras has also performed well on the road recording a hit in 80% of away games. With implied odds of -400 this prop has a significant positive edge indicating good value.

Finally, Contreras faces Spencer Schwellenbach whom he recorded a hit against earlier this season.

Brandon Nimmo 1+ Hits (-189) (Caesars) | MLB Player Props

Brandon Nimmo has had a relatively slow start to the 2024 season. However, Nimmo has turned it on as of late recording a hit in 8 of the last 10 games.

Additionally Nimmo has performed well on the road recording a hit in 74% of away games, while averaging 1.1 hits per game.

Nimmo has recorded a hit in 2 of his last 3 games against Edward Cabrera and is batting .333 against the Marlins starter in his career.

Enjoy analysis like this? Make sure to follow us on our socials @hofbets on Twitter and TikTok and @hof.bets on Instagram, or check out our website for more insights like these.

Sonny Gray 6+ Strikeouts (-150) (FD) | MLB Player Props

Sonny Gray has been one of baseball’s most consistent pitchers over the last decade. Gray has posted a 3.46 ERA spanning 12 seasons.

More recently Gray has recorded 6+ strikeouts in 8 of his last 10 starts. Gray has also reached this line in 86% of away games, once again highlighting his consistency. 

Finally Gray faces the Braves who are averaging the 6th most strikeouts over the last 20 games. When facing high strikeouts teams Gray has gone over in 7 of 8 games.

Philadelphia Phillies @ Pittsburgh Pirates (+132) (DK) | Same Game Parlay

We are going to be featuring one parlay which we believe has great upside potential. This week we are looking at a two-leg parlay, featuring Phillies Moneyline and Aaron Nola under 5.5 hits allowed. The Phillies currently hold the best record in baseball with 62 wins and 34 losses. On the mound for the Phillies tonight is ace Aaron Nola. Nola has been exceptional this season posting a 3.38 ERA, resulting in the Phillies winning 15 of Nola’s 19 starts. They face the Pirates who are currently 500 and are struggling offensively. The Pirates rank in the top 10 for both fewest hits and runs this season. In review, we are taking: 

  • Phillies Moneyline
  • Nola U 5.5 Hits Allowed

This is currently being offered for +132 on DraftKings, but running it through our parlay optimizer, we see it has hit in 68% of Phillies games this season. With implied odds of -217 this parlay has a 25% edge indicating great value.

This parlay has also hit in Nola’s 2 most recent starts.

Finally, the Pirates average the 5th fewest hits per game.

Why Bet on MLB Player Props?

Why engage in MLB player prop betting? It injects an extra thrill into baseball viewing. Unlike standard bets on teams, player props dive into the actual performances on the field. They offer more predictability and are less swayed by the crowd's opinion. With a deep understanding of a player's capabilities, you can use your insights effectively. Plus, it heightens the excitement of each game, as every action could tip the scales of your wager. Remember, responsible betting is key, but enjoy the additional excitement that player props bring to each MLB game.

In wrapping up, MLB player prop bets offer an interactive, personalized touch to professional baseball. They allow enthusiasts to go beyond scores, focusing on player stats and performances. These bets are not only thrilling but can also be quite rewarding for those who find the market's sweet spots. As a significant force in today's sports betting scene, a firm grasp of MLB player props is a must-have for any serious bettor or baseball fan. Stay informed, research thoroughly, and you may find player props to be both enjoyable and profitably engaging. Always bet with your head, not over it.

Strategies for Selecting Winning MLB Player Prop Bets

Embarking on the journey of MLB player prop betting requires a blend of skill, insight, and strategy. Here are key tactics to help you navigate this exciting landscape and make informed bets:

  • Player Performance Analysis: Delve into recent performances of players. Consider factors like injuries, recovery status, and consistency. A player on a hot streak or facing a weaker opponent could be a lucrative bet.
  • Matchup Assessments: Evaluate the matchups carefully. A batter may fail to record a hit when facing the league's top pitchers. Conversely, a pitcher may fail to record lots of strikeouts against the best offensive teams.
  • Historical Trends: Look at historical data. Some players may have a history of performing exceptionally well or poorly against certain pitchers or in particular situations.
  • Coaching Strategies: Stay updated on team strategies. Coaching decisions can influence a player's opportunity to perform. For example, a starting pitcher may get pulled earlier than expected due to pitch count.
  • In-Game Scenarios: Consider the context of the game. A team that's trailing may consider a more aggressive plate approach..
  • Bankroll Management: Keep your bankroll in check. Don't place all your funds on one prop; diversify your bets to manage risk.
  • Line Shopping: Compare odds across different sportsbooks. Even small differences can be significant over time, so shop for the best lines for your chosen props.
  • Timing Your Bets: Monitor line movements. Placing your bet at the right time, when the lines are most favorable, can be as crucial as the bet itself.
  • Keeping an Eye on the News: Injuries, trades, and team news can all affect props. Keep an eye on updates right up to game time to catch any critical changes.

By incorporating these strategies into your betting routine, you can boost your chances of finding valuable bets and making your MLB viewing experience even more thrilling.

Remember, the key to successful prop betting is research and disciplined wagering. Use the insights gained from these strategies to place smart, informed bets. With practice and patience, you could enhance your MLB player prop betting game.Take the question out of betting research with HOF Bets. Optimize your bets using sports betting analytics like these and many more, available on our platform at hofbets.com or by downloading our new iOS app here. Get started with us today for the best player prop and sports betting research.

A mockup on an iPhone of the Hofbets platform, where a user is entering in parlays and picks on the NBA Parlay Optimizer.A mockup on an iPhone of a Hofbets user examining a same game parlay they calculated on the NBA Parlay Optimizer.

Power up your parlay research and make more data-driven sports bets

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