Welcome to the dynamic realm of MLB sports betting! Are you eager to delve into MLB player props? You've landed in the perfect spot! Whether you're a casual fan or an experienced gambler, we've got you covered. Join us as we unravel the intricate world of player props in baseball. We're here to arm you with key insights that could sharpen your betting strategies. So, strap in for a revealing exploration of the MLB and get ready to view the game from an insider's perspective. Let's jump in and discover together!
What are Player Prop Bets?
Player prop bets, often called “props,” focus on individual players' actions rather than the overall game result. They're popular in various sports, especially in baseball. In the MLB, these bets zoom in on specific player achievements such as hits, strikeouts, home runs, etc.
Matt Waldron U 2.5 Earned Runs (-130) (Caesars) | Player Prop
Our first player prop for today's games is Matt Waldron under 2.5 earned runs.
Waldron has gone under this line in 73% of games this season, including each of the last eight games.
Over the course of the last eight games, Waldron has faced the Dodgers (4th), Phillies (5th), Mets (6th), and Diamondbacks (8th), all of whom rank in the top ten for runs recorded per game.
Today, Waldron faces the Nationals, who rank 19th in runs per game, a significant drop compared to some of Waldron’s previous opponents.
Considering these factors, we are confident in Waldron staying under 2.5 earned runs today.
Aaron Nola U 5.5 Hits Allowed (-120) (Caesars) | Player Prop
The next player prop catching our attention is Aaron Nola under 5.5 hits allowed.
Nola has gone under this line in 73% of games this season, including six of his last seven games.
When looking at the entire season, in three of the four games where Nola has gone over, he’s faced the Padres (2nd), Red Sox (6th), and Braves (10th), all of whom rank in the top ten for hits recorded per game.
Tonight, Nola faces the Tigers, who rank 8th in fewest hits per game over the last 20 games.
Furthermore, in his matchup against Detroit last season, Nola allowed just one hit in seven innings.
Given Nola’s strong performances this season and the favorable matchup against the Tigers, we like the under for Nola tonight.
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Freddy Peralta O 5.5 Strikeouts (-160) (ESPNBet) | Player Prop
The next player prop for tonight’s games is Freddy Peralta over 5.5 strikeouts.
Peralta has gone over in 80% of games this season, including seven of his last eight games.
Additionally, he has gone over in all six of his home games this season, averaging 7.7 Ks in home games this season.
While the Rangers only record 7.6 strikeouts per game, the 6th fewest in the MLB, Peralta had 11 strikeouts against them last season and has also gone over in games against Houston (2nd) and Miami (9th), both of whom rank in the top ten for fewest team strikeouts per game.
Considering all these factors, we like Peralta to go over tonight.
Two-leg Same Game Parlay (+120) (DraftKings)
Last but not least, it wouldn't be a Hall of Fame Bets blog post without utilizing the Parlay Optimizer to build a parlay for tonight’s slate.
This parlay consists of these two legs from DraftKings:
This parlay hit in 10 of 14 games this season.
Furthermore, Mize is facing the Phillies, who rank 3rd for team hits and 15th for team strikeouts.
While it has an implied odds of -250 based on games this season, at +120 odds on DraftKings, the value of this parlay is just too good to pass up on.
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