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NBA Player Props and Parlays: Game 3, NBA Finals 

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Welcome to the dynamic realm of NBA sports betting! Are you eager to delve into NBA player props? You've landed in the perfect spot! Whether you're a casual fan or an experienced gambler, we've got you covered. Join us as we unravel the intricate world of player props in basketball. We're here to arm you with key insights that could sharpen your betting strategies. So, strap in for a revealing exploration of the NBA and get ready to view the game from an insider's perspective. Let's jump in and discover together!

What are Player Prop Bets?

Player prop bets, often called “props,” focus on individual players' actions rather than the overall game result. They're popular in various sports, especially in basketball. In the NBA, these bets zoom in on specific player achievements such as points, assists, rebounds, blocks, steals, etc.

Looking for a place to try these out? Head over to a major sportsbook. For instance, FanDuel Sportsbook offers a menu of bets for any NBA game. If you're interested in tonight's matchup between the Lakers and Clippers, check out the Same Game Parlay tab for various statistical options.

The Lineup for Today:

The Dallas Mavericks face a critical juncture in the NBA Finals, trailing 2-0 against the Boston Celtics as they head into Game 3 at the American Airlines Center. If the Mavericks can't turn things around in Wednesday's game, scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET, the Celtics could be well on their way to securing their first title since 2008.

Despite their dominance in the first two games and being the favorites in the NBA championship odds, the Celtics find themselves as 1.5-point underdogs on the road for Game 3. For the Mavericks to make this series competitive, they will need more contributions from players other than Luka Doncic, who continues to be a strong contender for the NBA Finals MVP.

With this in mind, we’ve found three player props and built three parlays for Game 3.

Daniel Gafford O 7.5 Points (-136) (FanDuel) | Player Prop

Our first player prop for Game 3 is Daniel Gafford over 7.5 points.

Gafford has exceeded this line in 9 of his last 10 games, including both Game 1 and Game 2 against Boston. While Gafford struggled in Game 1, playing just 14 minutes, he had a much better performance in Game 2, scoring 13 points in 23 minutes. Gafford was notably more comfortable and effective compared to rookie center Dereck Lively II.

We anticipate Gafford will build on his Game 2 performance, with head coach Jason Kidd likely to lean more on the veteran center. Additionally, we expect Dallas to find more success around the rim at home. Although Boston has done an exceptional job limiting Dallas's lob game, the Mavericks should see improved results at the American Airlines Center, especially with the potential absence of Kristaps Porzingis.

Betting on Gafford to go over his points line in Game 3 appears to be a strong play given his recent form and the adjustments Dallas is expected to make at home.

Jrue Holiday O 24.5 Pts+Reb+Ast (-112) (DraftKings) | Player Prop

The next player prop catching our attention is Jrue Holiday O 24.5 Pts+Reb+Ast.

Holiday was exceptional in Game 2, contributing 26 points, 11 rebounds, and 3 assists, making a strong early case for Finals MVP. Furthermore, Holiday has also surpassed this line in 8 of his last 10 games, including each of the last six games. The veteran guard has been a crucial difference-maker for Boston compared to previous playoff runs, and we expect his elite play to continue in Game 3.

Given Holiday's consistent performance and pivotal role in Boston's success, betting on him to exceed 24.5 Pts+Reb+Ast offers good value.

Enjoy analysis like this? Make sure to follow us on our socials @hofbets on Twitter and TikTok and @hof.bets on Instagram, or checkout our website for more insights like these.

Jayson Tatum Double Double (-130) (ESPNBet) | Player Prop

Our final player prop for tonight’s game is Jayson Tatum to record a double-double.

Tatum has achieved a double-double in 81% of his playoff games, including both of the first two games of the Finals. In Game 1, Tatum tallied 16 points and 11 rebounds, while in Game 2, he posted 18 points and 12 assists. He was also just one rebound away from a triple-double in Game 2, highlighting his versatility and ability to contribute in multiple facets of the game.

Although Tatum's scoring numbers have dipped during the series, his impact on the boards and his high-level assisting have been significant. Betting on Tatum to record a double-double tonight leverages his consistent all-around performance and his critical role in Boston's success.

Mavericks Same Game Parlay (+111) (FanDuel)

This first parlay consists of these three legs from FanDuel:

This parlay has hit in 7 of the last 10 games for Dallas, including both games in the Finals thus far.

Celtics Same Game Parlay (+106) (FanDuel)

The next parlay consists of these three legs from FanDuel:

This parlay has hit in 6 of the last 10 games for Boston, including each of the last four games.

Celtics Same Game Parlay (+518) (FanDuel)

The next parlay consists of these five legs from FanDuel:

This parlay has hit in 100% of the last five games (last two for Porzingis) and is being offered for +500 odds.

Why Bet on NBA Player Props?

Why engage in NBA player prop betting? It injects an extra thrill into basketball viewing. Unlike standard bets on teams, player props dive into the actual performances on the field. They offer more predictability and are less swayed by the crowd's opinion. With a deep understanding of a player's capabilities, you can use your insights effectively. Plus, it heightens the excitement of each game, as every action could tip the scales of your wager. Remember, responsible betting is key, but enjoy the additional excitement that player props bring to each NBA game.

In wrapping up, NBA player prop bets offer an interactive, personalized touch to professional basketball. They allow enthusiasts to go beyond scores, focusing on player stats and performances. These bets are not only thrilling but can also be quite rewarding for those who find the market's sweet spots. As a significant force in today's sports betting scene, a firm grasp of NBA player props is a must-have for any serious bettor or basketball fan. Stay informed, research thoroughly, and you may find player props to be both enjoyable and profitably engaging. Always bet with your head, not over it.

Strategies for Selecting Winning NBA Player Prop Bets

  1. Embarking on the journey of NBA player prop betting requires a blend of skill, insight, and strategy. Here are key tactics to help you navigate this exciting landscape and make informed bets:
  2. Player Performance Analysis: Delve into recent performances of players. Consider factors like injuries, recovery status, and consistency. A player on a hot streak or facing a weaker defense could be a lucrative bet.
  3. Matchup Assessments: Evaluate the matchups carefully. A star shooting guard facing the league's top perimeter defense might not hit their average threes made. Conversely, a top center against a team with a weak inside defense might exceed expectations.
  4. Historical Trends: Look at historical data. Some players may have a history of performing exceptionally well or poorly against certain teams or in particular situations.
  5. Coaching Strategies: Stay updated on team strategies. Coaching decisions can influence a player's opportunity to perform. For example, a shift toward a smaller lineup would mean more opportunities for skilled players to score.
  6. In-Game Scenarios: Consider the context of the game. A team that's trailing may shoot more threes to try and get back ahead.
  7. Bankroll Management: Keep your bankroll in check. Don't place all your funds on one prop; diversify your bets to manage risk.
  8. Line Shopping: Compare odds across different sportsbooks. Even small differences can be significant over time, so shop for the best lines for your chosen props.
  9. Timing Your Bets: Monitor line movements. Placing your bet at the right time, when the lines are most favorable, can be as crucial as the bet itself.
  10. Keeping an Eye on the News: Injuries, trades, and team news can all affect props. Keep an eye on updates right up to game time to catch any critical changes.

By incorporating these strategies into your betting routine, you can boost your chances of finding valuable bets and making your NBA viewing experience even more thrilling.

Remember, the key to successful prop betting is research and disciplined wagering. Use the insights gained from these strategies to place smart, informed bets. With practice and patience, you could enhance your NBA player prop betting game.

Take the question out of betting research with HOF Bets. Optimize your bets using sports betting analytics like these and many more, available on our platform at hofbets.com or by downloading our new iOS app here. Get started with us today for the best player prop and sports betting research.

A mockup on an iPhone of the Hofbets platform, where a user is entering in parlays and picks on the NBA Parlay Optimizer.A mockup on an iPhone of a Hofbets user examining a same game parlay they calculated on the NBA Parlay Optimizer.

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