Betting sports opens a realm of opportunities filled with thrill and strategy, with Over/Under betting standing as one of the most captivating options. If you're keen to dive into this fascinating style of wagering, this detailed guide will serve as your roadmap to understanding Over/Under betting, its workings, and innovative strategies to maximize your betting experience.
Exploring Over/Under Betting in Sports:
Also known as totals betting, Over/Under betting is a great way to wager on sports without picking a winner or loser. Instead, you bet on whether the total points, goals, or runs scored by both teams will be over or under a figure set by the sportsbook. It's a popular betting type in various sports, including football, basketball, and baseball, among others.
Deciphering Over/Under Betting:
In Over/Under betting, the sportsbook decides a total for a specific game, representing the expected combined score of both teams. As a bettor, your role is to speculate if the actual combined score will be higher (over) or lower (under) than this set figure.
Now, letβs look further into how a sportsbook would set up the bet.
Let's illustrate with an example from the NBA Finals between the Miami Heat and the Denver Nuggets:
Game Total: 213.5 points
Over: -110
Under: -120
Here, the sportsbook predicts that the teams will score a combined total of 213.5 points. If you think the teams will score 213.5 or more points, you would bet on the “over”. If you believe they'll score 213.5 or less, you'd bet the “under”.
Books set the number such that it should be close to an even line. In other words, the game should finish right around that line, making it a particularly exciting type of bet until the very end.
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Strategies to Ace Over/Under Betting:
- Detailed Game Analysis: Dig deep into teams' recent performances, offensive and defensive statistics, player form, and even weather conditions, all of which can affect the total score.
- Keep an Eye on Line Movements: Totals can move before the game based on the money and bets coming in. These movements can offer insights into public opinion and provide betting opportunities.
- Consider Team Matchups: Look at how teams match up against each other. Some teams may have strong defenses that could keep scoring low, while others might have powerful offenses that boost the total score.
- Monitor Injuries: Injuries to key players, especially high-scoring ones, can significantly affect a team's total scoring ability.
- Understanding Bookmaker Bias: Public bettors often lean towards “over” bets because they enjoy watching high-scoring games. Consequently, bookmakers might inflate totals slightly, creating value for “under” bets. Be aware of this potential bias.
How can Hall of Fame Bets Help you with Over/Under Betting?
Combining powerful data analytics with a simple user interface to make all your betting research easier, Hall of Fame Bets is the premier sports betting analytics research platform. Using our platform, you can seamlessly filter through data for teams and players alike to provide insight into past performances in order to find value in matchups and make smarter bets.
When it comes to over/under betting, a great use case for this is examining how teams perform with or without particular players. For instance, the Miami Heat have scored over 213.5 points in 63% of their games played all year, as shown below:
But, this number drops to 59% without sharpshooter Tyler Herro, as you can see when you filter to games without him:
Conclusion:
Over/Under betting adds a unique perspective to sports wagering, allowing you to focus on the game's flow and total scoring rather than picking outright winners or even spreads. With an understanding of its workings and strategic betting, Over/Under wagering can bring an additional layer of excitement to your sports betting journey.
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All odds in this article are from DraftKings Sportsbook.