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Summing up Over/Under Betting: A Detailed Guide to Total Points Wagering

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Betting sports opens a realm of opportunities filled with thrill and strategy, with Over/Under betting standing as one of the most captivating options. If you're keen to dive into this fascinating style of wagering, this detailed guide will serve as your roadmap to understanding Over/Under betting, its workings, and innovative strategies to maximize your betting experience.

Exploring Over/Under Betting in Sports:

Also known as totals betting, Over/Under betting is a great way to wager on sports without picking a winner or loser. Instead, you bet on whether the total points, goals, or runs scored by both teams will be over or under a figure set by the sportsbook. It's a popular betting type in various sports, including football, basketball, and baseball, among others.

An example of several MLB games, highlighting the over/under betting options offered on DraftKings

Deciphering Over/Under Betting:

In Over/Under betting, the sportsbook decides a total for a specific game, representing the expected combined score of both teams. As a bettor, your role is to speculate if the actual combined score will be higher (over) or lower (under) than this set figure.

Now, let’s look further into how a sportsbook would set up the bet.

Let's illustrate with an example from the NBA Finals between the Miami Heat and the Denver Nuggets:

An example of over/under bets in an NBA game between the Nuggets and the Heat offered on DraftKings

Game Total: 213.5 points

Over: -110

Under: -120

Here, the sportsbook predicts that the teams will score a combined total of 213.5 points. If you think the teams will score 213.5 or more points, you would bet on the “over”. If you believe they'll score 213.5 or less, you'd bet the “under”.

Books set the number such that it should be close to an even line. In other words, the game should finish right around that line, making it a particularly exciting type of bet until the very end.

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Strategies to Ace Over/Under Betting:

  1. Detailed Game Analysis: Dig deep into teams' recent performances, offensive and defensive statistics, player form, and even weather conditions, all of which can affect the total score.
  2. Keep an Eye on Line Movements: Totals can move before the game based on the money and bets coming in. These movements can offer insights into public opinion and provide betting opportunities.
  3. Consider Team Matchups: Look at how teams match up against each other. Some teams may have strong defenses that could keep scoring low, while others might have powerful offenses that boost the total score.
  4. Monitor Injuries: Injuries to key players, especially high-scoring ones, can significantly affect a team's total scoring ability.
  5. Understanding Bookmaker Bias: Public bettors often lean towards “over” bets because they enjoy watching high-scoring games. Consequently, bookmakers might inflate totals slightly, creating value for “under” bets. Be aware of this potential bias.

How can Hall of Fame Bets Help you with Over/Under Betting?

Combining powerful data analytics with a simple user interface to make all your betting research easier, Hall of Fame Bets is the premier sports betting analytics research platform. Using our platform, you can seamlessly filter through data for teams and players alike to provide insight into past performances in order to find value in matchups and make smarter bets.

When it comes to over/under betting, a great use case for this is examining how teams perform with or without particular players. For instance, the Miami Heat have scored over 213.5 points in 63% of their games played all year, as shown below:

Analysis breaking down the Miami Heat's over/under chances featured on the HOFBets platform

But, this number drops to 59% without sharpshooter Tyler Herro, as you can see when you filter to games without him:

Analysis breaking down the Miami Heat's over/under chances when playing without Tyler Herro in the HOFBets platform

Conclusion:

Over/Under betting adds a unique perspective to sports wagering, allowing you to focus on the game's flow and total scoring rather than picking outright winners or even spreads. With an understanding of its workings and strategic betting, Over/Under wagering can bring an additional layer of excitement to your sports betting journey.

ake the question out of betting research with HOF Bets. Optimize your bets using insights like these and many more, available on our platform at hofbets.com or by downloading our new iOS app here.

Get started with us today for the best player prop and sports betting research.

All odds in this article are from DraftKings Sportsbook.

A mockup on an iPhone of the Hofbets platform, where a user is entering in parlays and picks on the NBA Parlay Optimizer.A mockup on an iPhone of a Hofbets user examining a same game parlay they calculated on the NBA Parlay Optimizer.

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